Varnamo vs Sandvikens, Swedish Superettan

Varnamo recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches, showing improved attacking output. Sandvikens earned two wins, two draws and one defeat, with a less solid defensive record.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 63.7 % (1.57). Across their last five games Varnamo averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while Sandvikens posted 1.4 and 1.2 respectively. Given the open scorelines in recent fixtures, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 58 %.

Odds of 1.88-3.75-3.56 translate into implied probabilities of 53.2 % for a Varnamo win, 26.7 % for a draw and 28.1 % for Sandvikens. Considering Varnamo’s superior recent scoring, their win chance is estimated at 48 %, a draw at 29 % and a Sandvikens win at 23 %.