Selangor host Melaka in match-week 11 of the Malaysian Super League.

Selangor have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five outings and remain prolific in attack. Melaka managed only one victory, two draws and two losses over the same span.

With the line set at 3.5, bookmakers price the Over at 51 % and the Under at 55 %. Given Selangor’s 2.4 goals per game and Melaka’s 1.6 conceded, the probability of Over 3.5 is assessed at 47 %.

Odds of 1.17-7.53-12 translate to implied probabilities of roughly 85 % home win, 13 % draw and 8 % away win. Factoring in home advantage and current form, Selangor’s win chance is estimated at 78 %, draw 15 % and Melaka win 7 %.