On 1 November 2026, in match-week 11 of Serie C Group B, Livorno edged out AS Ostia Mare 1-0 at home. The only goal came in the very first minute, after which the hosts focused on protecting their lead. Despite having 59 % possession compared to 41 % for the visitors, the guests created slightly more dangerous attacks (60 vs 56). Both sides received two yellow cards each and won four corners, while no red cards or penalties were awarded. The narrow win kept Livorno in the upper half of the standings.

The total goals are expected to exceed 2.5. The odds of 1.79 for over indicate a likely high-scoring game. Livorno’s average of 2.0 goals both scored and conceded, combined with Ostia Mare’s tendency to concede, supports this expectation.

Livorno win probability stands at 58%, draw at 29%, and Ostia Mare win at 13%. The odds 1.71, 3.5, 4.21 reflect clear home advantage. Historical meetings also show Livorno winning four of the last five encounters.