Stoke City host Bristol City in the Championship.

Stoke City’s recent form is uneven: two wins were followed by a heavy defeat to Middlesbrough, while Bristol City have gone four games without a victory and concede regularly.

Bookmakers price the probability of over 2.5 goals at 53 % and under at 47 %. Stoke average 3.0 goals per game in their last five matches, Bristol City 2.4. With both sides tending to play open football, the chance of over 2.5 is assessed at 56 %.

Odds imply a 44 % chance of a Stoke win, 30 % for a draw and 33 % for Bristol City. Historical meetings between the sides often produce goals, so the likelihood of a draw is adjusted to 28 %.