In round 23 of the Championship, Preston North End will host Bristol City

Preston have collected just three points from their last five matches, losing twice by three-goal margins and winning once. Bristol City earned four points over the same stretch, drawing twice and losing twice, conceding in three straight games.

The total line sits at 2.5 goals with almost identical odds of 1.95/1.91. Preston average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in their last five fixtures, while Bristol City record 1.0 and 1.4 respectively. The under 2.5 looks the likelier outcome (57 %).

Odds for a home win stand at 2.79, away win at 2.58 and draw at 3.51. Given Preston’s failure to win any of their last four home games and Bristol City losing only once in five outings, the probability of an away win is 41 %, home win 33 % and draw 26 %.