In the 12th round of the Lithuanian Premier League, Džiugas will host Panevėžys at home.

Both sides have had inconsistent campaigns. Džiugas picked up five points from their last five matches, drawing twice and losing three, while conceding 12 goals. Panevėžys recorded two wins, two defeats and one draw, scoring eight goals and conceding five.

A total over 2.5 goals looks likely. In their last five games Džiugas have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while Panevėžys posted 1.6 and 1.0 respectively. The bookmakers’ line of 2.5 at 1.69 implies roughly 59 % probability.

Betting odds translate into probabilities of 39 % for a Džiugas win, 43 % for Panevėžys and 30 % for the draw. Given that both teams scored in four of the last five head-to-heads, the most probable outcomes are a Panevėžys win or a draw.