Colegiales vs Atlético Rafaela in the Argentine Primera B Nacional

Colegiales show consistency at home, keeping clean sheets and finding the net regularly. Atlético Rafaela are struggling on the road, conceding heavily and failing to score consistently.

The over 1.5 line is priced at 39 % implied probability, under at 61 %. Given both sides average under 1.5 goals per game in the last five fixtures, the under looks likely (57 %).

Bookmakers give Colegiales a 58 % chance to win, the draw 33 %, and Atlético Rafaela 20 %. Adjusting for home strength and visitors’ defensive issues, the probabilities shift to 54 %, 29 % and 17 % respectively.