In matchday 9 of the Uruguayan Primera División, Defensor Sporting host Racing Club Montevideo.

Defensor Sporting have won once and lost four of their last five fixtures, conceding eight goals. Racing Club Montevideo are equally inconsistent, recording three defeats and two draws while failing to score in four of those games.

With the line set at 2.5, the odds are 2.18 for over and 1.58 for under. Given both sides concede around 1.6-1.8 goals per match, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 48% and under 2.5 goals is 52%.

The 1X2 prices of 2.85-2.96-2.4 suggest a slight edge for the visitors. Considering Racing’s goalless streak and Defensor’s defensive issues, the estimated probabilities are: home win 33%, draw 30%, away win 37%.