Babelsberg 03 will host BFC Preussen in matchweek 30 of the German Regionalliga Nordost.

Babelsberg 03 collected 10 points from the last five fixtures, kept three clean sheets and twice won by a two-goal margin. BFC Preussen earned 7 points over the same span and conceded at least two goals in four of those games.

Babelsberg 03 average 2.4 goals per game, Preussen 2.6. The 2.32 price for over 3.5 implies a 43 % probability; given that both sides have seen 2+ goals scored and conceded in 60 % of recent matches, the chance of over 3.5 rises to 48 %.

Odds read 2.01 for a Babelsberg win, 3.82 the draw and 2.85 for Preussen. Accounting for home advantage and Babelsberg’s stronger recent defence, their win probability is 46 %, the draw 28 % and an away win 26 %.