Recanatse and Trestina finished their Serie D encounter with a 0-1 scoreline. The visitors struck early in the first minute and held on to their slender lead until the final whistle. Despite equal possession, the hosts dominated in corners (8-0) and dangerous attacks (81-36). Yet Trestina’s red card and four yellows did not prevent them from securing the three points.

The bookmaker’s line for total 2.5 is set at 2.04 for over and 1.68 for under. Taking into account Recanatese’s scoring average of 1.8 and 2.8 conceded, and Trestina’s 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, the probability of over 2.5 is estimated at 52%, while under 2.5 stands at 48%.

The 1X2 odds of 1.95-3.3-3.61 show a slight home advantage. Based on home statistics and current form, Recanatese’s win probability is assessed at 48%, a draw at 29%, and Trestina’s victory at 23%.