Bookmakers price the probability of over 2.5 goals at 65 % (odds 1.54). With an expected combined average of 3.0 goals per match, the chance of clearing the total stands near 62 %.

Danubio are given a 56 % chance to win, a draw 27 %, and San Jacinto Kigay 17 %. The hosts’ edge is supported by superior attacking output and fewer goals conceded.