In matchday 11 of the Romanian Liga 1, CS Universitatea Craiova defeated Botoșani 2-1 at home. Both goals for the hosts came in the first half, allowing them to control the tempo for most of the game. Despite holding 54 % of possession compared to 46 %, Craiova conceded more corners (2-4) and dangerous attacks (45-34). The visitors could not capitalise on their set-piece advantage, while all yellow cards went to the home side. The win strengthened Universitatea’s mid-table standing.

The line for total goals is set at 2.5 with odds of 1.83 for over and 1.90 for under. Given Craiova’s average of 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, and Botoșani’s 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, the probability of more than 2.5 goals is estimated at 51%.

The 1.41 odds on the hosts suggest a clear advantage. The implied probability of a Craiova win stands at 68%, a draw at 22%, and a Botoșani victory at 10%.