Sassuolo will host Lazio in matchweek 23 of Serie A.

Sassuolo’s recent form has been inconsistent, with two losses, two draws and one win. The side concedes frequently and scores sporadically. Lazio has been more reliable, collecting points in most fixtures, although defensive lapses still occur.

The 2.5-goal line at 1.82 appears reasonable. Both teams average 1.6-1.8 goals scored and conceded per game. The probability that the match exceeds 2.5 total goals is estimated at 54%.

Lazio is priced at 2.53 and is seen as the favourite, with an implied win probability of 39%. Sassuolo’s chance of victory is 34%, while a draw is priced at 27%.