Chiang Mai United and Uttaradit played out a 1-1 draw in Thailand Division 2. Both sides scored once in the first half and neither added to the scoreline after the break. The visitors enjoyed 54 % possession to the hosts’ 46 %, yet Chiang Mai created more chances, winning five corners to two. Chiang Mai received three yellow cards, Uttaradit two; no red cards were shown. The hosts also recorded more dangerous attacks (61-48).

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 1.76, implying roughly a 57 % chance. Chiang Mai United average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Uttaradit average 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded. Given Uttaradit’s open approach, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 59 %.

The implied probabilities from the odds are 37 % home win, 31 % draw and 44 % away win. Accounting for Uttaradit’s superior scoring record, the estimated probabilities shift to 34 % home win, 25 % draw and 41 % away win.