Leon Monza Brianza host ChievoVerona in round 27 of Italy’s Serie D.

Leon Monza Brianza have won four of their last five games, keeping clean sheets against Pavonese and Real Calepina. ChievoVerona lost three of the same period, although they thrashed Tritium.

The line for total 2.5 is offered at 1.9 for over and 1.8 for under. In their last five matches the hosts scored 10 and conceded 5, the visitors 9 and 6. Expected goals stand near 2.6, therefore the probability of over 2.5 is assessed at 52 %. The chance of under 2.5 is 48 %.

The 1X2 odds 3.2-3.15-2.16 suggest a slight edge for ChievoVerona. Taking current form into account, Leon Monza Brianza’s win probability is 28 %, the draw 31 %, and ChievoVerona’s victory 41 %.