Merida will host CD Coria in the Primera División RFEF Group 1. The match is scheduled for the upcoming round.

Merida’s form is mixed: wins over Pontevedra (2:1) and Cacereño (2:0) are offset by heavy defeats to Logroñés (3:5) and Ponferradina (0:1). CD Coria alternates between a win against Athletic Bilbao B (2:1) and draws with Cultural Leonesa (2:2) and Real Avilés (1:1), while losing to Extremadura (2:4) and Zamora (0:2).

Merida’s recent matches have produced between 2 and 8 total goals (average 3.4), while Coria’s games range from 3 to 6 (average 3.8). Given the over/under 2.5 line at 1.72/1.96, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52%.

Odds of 1.67 for a Merida win, 3.58 for a draw, and 4.4 for a Coria win translate into implied probabilities of 54% home win, 27% draw, and 19% away win.