Sportivo San Lorenzo host Cerro Porteño in the Paraguayan Primera División.

Sportivo San Lorenzo have gone five games without a win: 3-2, 3-2, 1-1, 1-1, 0-0. Cerro Porteño are in better shape: 2-2, 3-2, 0-3, 2-1, 2-1.

Over the last five matches Sportivo San Lorenzo average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded; Cerro Porteño average 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. With the line set at 2.5 and odds 1.87/1.88, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 49 % and under 2.5 is 51 %.

Based on the odds 7.8-4.67-1.37, the implied probabilities are 12 % for a Sportivo San Lorenzo win, 20 % for a draw and 68 % for a Cerro Porteño win.