Jwaya average 4.6 goals per game over their last five outings, Al-Nejmeh 4.2. The 2.18 odds for Over 2.5 and 1.58 for Under imply a 46 % chance for the Over and 54 % for the Under. Based on recent scoring patterns, the projected split is 48 % Over and 52 % Under.
The 2.81 – 3.04 – 2.36 market translates to 35.6 % home win, 32.9 % draw, 42.4 % away win. Historical head-to-head results show the nominal favourite prevailing in four of five clashes, adjusting probabilities to 31 % home, 25 % draw, 44 % away.