Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk, Ukrainian First League

Chernihiv has shown inconsistency recently: after a 1:0 win over Prykarpattia and 4:2 over Trostianets came losses 1:2 to Viktoriya Sumy and 2:3 to SK Poltava. Ahrobiznes Volochysk looks more solid, securing three wins in five games, including 1:0 against Metalist and 3:2 against YUKSA.

With an average total of 2.5, bookmakers offer 2.33 for over and 1.51 for under. Given Chernihiv’s average scoring (2.0 goals scored, 1.6 conceded) and Ahrobiznes’s numbers (1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded), the probability of under 2.5 is around 58%.

Odds 2.77-2.9-2.46 suggest nearly equal chances. Considering Ahrobiznes’s current form, its win probability is estimated at 42%, Chernihiv’s at 32%, and a draw at 26%.