Flamurtari Vlorë host Besëlidhja Lezhë in Albania’s First Division.

Flamurtari have collected three wins and two draws in their last five fixtures, scoring 10 goals and conceding two. Besëlidhja are unbeaten as well, recording two wins and three draws while netting eight goals and conceding two.

Flamurtari average 2.4 goals per game over the last five rounds, Besëlidhja 2.0. The 2.5 total line carries odds 1.69/2.01, translating to an implied 59% chance of over and 41% of under.

The 1X2 odds 1.43/4.05/6.15 imply probabilities of 70% home win, 25% draw and 16% away win. Adjusting for home dominance and recent H2H, the realistic estimates are 68% Flamurtari victory, 23% draw and 9% Besëlidhja win.