Atletico Tigre host Atletico Tucuman in the Argentine Primera Division

Tigre have lost three and drawn two of their last five games, conceding two goals per match on average. Tucuman recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in the same span, also conceding two goals per game.

The bookmaker prices the over 1.5 goals market at 66 %. The teams average 3.4 and 3.2 goals per game recently, giving the over a 59 % probability.

Bookmaker odds imply 59 % for a Tigre win, 28 % for a draw and 18 % for Tucuman. Adjusting for home advantage and head-to-head trends, the probabilities shift to 54 %, 30 % and 16 %.