Stevenage Borough host Milton Keynes Dons in an English League One fixture.

Stevenage have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches, keeping clean sheets twice. Milton Keynes Dons have three wins in the same period but conceded five and seven goals in two of those games.

The total line is set at 2.5 with odds of 2.05 for over and 1.72 for under. Given Stevenage’s average of 2.4 goals scored and MK Dons’ 2.8 in their last five outings, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58 % and under at 42 %.

Bookmaker odds stand at 2.03 for a home win, 3.34 for a draw and 3.60 for an away win. Factoring in recent form and head-to-head history, the probabilities are: Stevenage win 48 %, draw 29 %, MK Dons win 23 %.