In the 13th round of Brazil’s Série B, Sport Recife will host Criciúma on 24 June.

Sport Recife earned seven points from the last five matches but conceded seven goals, including a 0-2 defeat at Fortaleza. Criciúma, meanwhile, remain unbeaten with four wins and one draw, keeping clean sheets in four of those five games.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 47 % (odds 2.12) and the under 2.5 at 60 % (odds 1.66). Given that Criciúma conceded only one goal in their last five fixtures and Sport average 1.4 goals scored and conceded, the under 2.5 looks the more probable outcome.

A home win is priced at 43 % (2.34), a draw at 32 % (3.16) and an away win at 34 % (2.98). With Criciúma on a four-match winning streak and Sport leaking goals in four of their last five outings, the visitors’ chances appear at least as strong as the hosts’.