In a First League match, Volna defeated Smorgon 1-0 at home. The only goal was scored in the very first minute. Although the hosts had slightly less possession (49 % vs 51 %), they secured the win.

Smorgon created more threats, earning six corners to Volna’s two and receiving the only yellow card. Volna played with ten men after a red card but held on for the narrow victory. Total attacks were nearly equal: 101 for the home side and 96 for the visitors.

Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 43 % and the under at 66 %. Given Volna’s 5-10 goal record and Smorgon’s 5-4 tally over the same period, the under 3.5 appears the likelier outcome at roughly 62 % probability.

Odds of 2.11–3.80–2.68 suggest a slight edge for the hosts. However, guests have won four of the last five head-to-head clashes; therefore Smorgon’s win probability stands at 41 %, Volna’s at 34 %, and the draw at 25 %.