In the Spanish third division match, Tomarés faced Jerez Deportivo and lost by the narrowest of margins. The visitors struck early in the first half and held on until the final whistle. Both teams had equal possession, but Tomarés were reduced to ten men after a red card. Each side earned two corners, while the hosts collected more yellow cards. Jerez Deportivo converted a penalty to secure a 0-1 victory.

With a 2.5-goal line, bookmakers set 46 % for over and 62 % for under. Given that Tomares scored at most one goal in four of their last five matches and Jerez Deportivo conceded in four, the probability of a match under 2.5 goals is estimated at 58 %.

Odds of 3.15-3-2.28 suggest a slight edge for the visitors. Probability of a Jerez Deportivo win is 44 %, a draw 33 %, and a Tomares win 23 %.