Abha will host Al-Faisaly Harmah in match-week 26 of the Saudi Pro League.

Abha picked up only three points from their last five outings and conceded nine goals. Al-Faisaly Harmah collected seven points and let in seven goals over the same span.

The total line is set at 2.5 goals, priced 1.92 for over and 1.83 for under. Abha’s last five matches averaged 3.4 goals, Al-Faisaly’s 3.0. The probability of over 2.5 is assessed at 53-55%.

Odds read 2.24 for the hosts, 3.39 the draw and 3.05 the visitors. Factoring these numbers yields an implied 40% chance of an Abha win, 29% a draw and 31% an Al-Faisaly victory, making the home side the value pick.