In round 31 of Brazil’s Série B, Náutico Capibaribe edged Avaí 1-0 at home. The only goal came inside the opening minute, and the hosts held on for the narrow win. They edged possession 54 %–46 % and created more dangerous attacks (40-30), while both teams earned six corners. Náutico picked up four yellow cards to Avaí’s three, with no red cards shown to either side.

Both sides average under a goal per game (Nautico 0.4, Avai 0.8). With the total line set at 2.5 and odds 1.93 over / 1.80 under, the implied probability is roughly 48 % for over and 52 % for under.

Odds of 2.04 on a Nautico win, 3.34 on a draw and 3.45 on an Avai win translate to estimated probabilities of 49 %, 30 % and 29 % respectively.