Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta Baghdad, Iraq Stars League

Al Zawraa recorded three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five fixtures, including a 2-0 home victory over Al-Gharraf and a 1-0 away win at Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya. Al Shorta collected three wins and two draws over the same span, highlighted by a 2-0 triumph against Al-Kahraba and a 3-2 success at East Bengal.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 44.6 % and the under at 64.5 %. Al Zawraa average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Al Shorta average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. Given both sides’ modest scoring records, the under 2.5 goals outcome looks the more probable.

Odds of 2.50 / 3.02 / 2.56 imply probabilities of 40.0 % for an Al Zawraa win, 33.1 % for a draw and 39.1 % for an Al Shorta victory. Considering Al Shorta’s two most recent head-to-head wins and their tighter defence, the visitors’ win chance is assessed at 37-39 %, the draw at 32-34 % and the home win at 28-30 %.