On 1 November in the Challenger Pro League, hosts KAS Eupen faced Royal Excelsior Virton and lost 1-2. The home side took the lead in the opening minute and went into half-time 1-0 up. After the break the visitors turned the game around with two second-half goals.
Ball possession was almost even, with Eupen at 51 % and Virton at 49 %. The guests, however, created more danger, earning four corners to Eupen’s two. Both teams finished the match without a single card. Although the hosts converted their only penalty, it was not enough to secure a point.
Bookmakers price the probability of over 2.5 goals at 65 % with odds of 1.54. Eupen average 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches, Virton average 3.6. Five previous head-to-heads produced an average of 3.4 goals. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.
A home win is priced at 64 % (1.55), a draw at 24 % (4.1), and an away win at 22 % (4.63). Considering home advantage and Eupen’s historical edge, the probability of a home victory is estimated at 58–62 %.