On Saturday, in matchweek 28 of the Scottish Premiership, Dundee will host Kilmarnock at Dens Park.

Dundee collected 11 points from their last five fixtures: a 2-2 draw with Rangers, wins over Falkirk (2-1) and Motherwell (2-1), plus a 1-2 defeat at Hearts and a 1-1 draw with St Johnstone. Kilmarnock earned 7 points over the same span: a 3-2 win against Motherwell, losses to Rangers (1-3) and Hibernian (1-2), a 1-1 draw with Hearts and a 1-0 victory over Aberdeen.

Dundee have averaged 3.0 goals per game in their last five outings, while Kilmarnock sit at 2.8. Bookmakers price the Over 2.5 line at 61 % (1.63) and the Under at 39 % (2.19). Considering both sides’ attacking numbers, the probability of Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 58 %.

The hosts are given a 52 % chance of victory (1.92), the draw 27 % (3.66) and the visitors 28 % (3.62). Based on current form and head-to-head data, the estimated probabilities are 48 % for Dundee, 29 % for the draw and 23 % for Kilmarnock.