Sao Bernardo host Vila Nova Goiania in the Brazilian Serie B.

Sao Bernardo collected 8 points from their last five matches: a 3-1 win over CRB, a goalless draw with Novorizontino and a 1-0 win over Atletico Goianiense. Vila Nova Goiania earned 11 points: a 2-0 home win over Londrina, a 2-0 away win at Nautico, plus two draws and one 1-0 victory.

Bookmaker odds of 2.23 on over 2.5 goals and 1.60 on under 2.5 signal a lean towards the over. Sao Bernardo scored 6 and conceded 4 in their last five games; Vila Nova Goiania scored 5 and conceded 2. With an average of 2.4-2.6 goals per match, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52-55 %.

Odds of 2.76-2.95-2.60 reflect minimal quality gap. Sao Bernardo earned 8 of 15 possible home points, Vila Nova Goiania collected 11 of 15. Probability: home win 34 %, draw 32 %, away win 34 %.