In a Group 4 RFEF Segunda División clash, Deportivo Linares edged Badajoz 1-0. The only goal came in the first half, allowing the visitors to protect their lead. Both sides shared possession equally, yet Badajoz created more dangerous attacks, registering 108 compared to 79. Linares, however, made better use of set-pieces, earning two corners to one. Each side collected two yellow cards and no reds were shown.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 52 % and the under at 48 %. Given that both sides average fewer than one goal conceded per game, the probability of under 2.5 goals is assessed at 57 %.

Odds of 1.77-3.50-4.15 translate to implied probabilities of 55 % for a Badajoz win, 28 % for a draw and 24 % for an away victory. Considering the hosts’ defensive record and four draws in the last five head-to-heads, Badajoz are given a 48 % chance to win, a 33 % chance to draw and a 19 % chance for Linares.