Novorizontino defeated Operario Ferroviario 2-1 at home in the 34th round of Brazil’s Serie B. Both goals came in the first half, while the visitors pulled one back after the break. Although Operario enjoyed more possession (53 %), Novorizontino dominated set-pieces with eight corners to zero and created almost twice as many dangerous attacks (45-24). Seven yellow cards were shown, but no red cards. The hosts underlined their title credentials with a solid defensive display and clinical finishing.

Novorizontino average 2.6 goals per game, Operário 0.4. With the over-2.5 line priced at 1.66, the probability of clearing that line is estimated at 54 %.

The 1.46 quote for a Novorizontino win implies a 63 % chance, the draw 22 %, and an away win 15 %.