Al-Karkh will host Al-Mosul in the Iraqi Stars League

Al-Karkh conceded three goals in four of their last five matches yet scored at home regularly. Al-Mosul are winless in five games, having let in nine goals and scored just two.

The total line stands at 2.5 with odds 2.22 over and 1.56 under. Given that Al-Karkh have both scored and conceded at least twice in four of five recent matches, while Al-Mosul average 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, the probability of over 2.5 is estimated at 48 % and under 2.5 at 52 %.

The 1X2 odds of 2.60-2.82-2.61 suggest nearly even chances. Factoring in home advantage and head-to-head results where Al-Karkh recorded two wins, two draws and one loss, the probabilities are 39 % for Al-Karkh, 32 % for a draw and 29 % for Al-Mosul.