In the Iranian league match, Aluminium will host Zob Ahan.

Both sides have been inconsistent lately. Aluminium recorded three draws and two losses, conceding 1.2 goals per game on average. Zob Ahan endured three defeats, one win and one draw, while their defence leaked 1.4 goals per match.

Bookmakers price the probability of over 1.5 goals at 61 %. Given that Aluminium scored 0.8 and conceded 1.2, while Zob Ahan scored 0.8 and conceded 1.4 in their last five fixtures, the likelihood of more than 1.5 goals stands near 58 %.

A home win is quoted at 53 %, a draw at 35 % and an away win at 23 %. Considering Aluminium’s home record and three wins in the last five head-to-heads, the true probability of a home victory is about 49 %, a draw 34 % and an away win 17 %.