Nacional Montevideo host Juventud Las Piedras in the Uruguayan Championship.

Nacional Montevideo have been inconsistent lately, mixing wins with losses and draws. The side recorded two victories, two defeats and one draw in the last five outings. Juventud Las Piedras have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, showing a solid defensive structure.

Nacional average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over the last five matches, while Juventud average 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. With the total line set at 2.5 (odds 2.01 over, 1.8 under), the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and under at 53%.

Bookmaker odds (1.73 home win, 3.57 draw, 4.72 away win) translate into an implied probability of 52% for a Nacional victory, 25% for a draw and 19% for an away win.