In a China League Two fixture, Dalian Keway edged Jiangxi Lushan 2-1 at home. The first half ended goalless, with both goals for the hosts coming after the break. Dalian enjoyed 56 % possession to Jiangxi’s 44 % and generated six corners to two. They also launched 77 dangerous attacks compared with 40 from their opponents. Despite conceding the game’s only penalty, Dalian held firm to secure the three points.

The offered totals line of 2.5 goals (2.08 over, 1.64 under) suggests an open contest. Dalian Kewel average 3.2 goals per game in their last five outings, Jiangxi Lushan 2.4. The probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 57%.

Bookmaker odds of 1.53 on the hosts, 3.60 on a draw and 5.64 on the visitors underline Dalian Kewel’s superiority. Given their home form and the previous 1:0 win over Jiangxi Lushan, the estimated probabilities are 62% for a Dalian Kewel win, 26% for a draw and 12% for an away victory.