Lugo host Mérida in Primera División RFEF Group 1

Lugo earned points in four of their last five fixtures, winning three by a margin of two or more. Mérida alternate wins and draws but conceded five against Logroñés.

The total line stands at 2.5 with odds 1.88 over and 1.79 under. Lugo average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, Mérida 1.8 and 2.2. Expect a match with two or three goals.

Odds 2.05–3.28–3.20 indicate a slight home edge. Given Lugo’s wins in the last two head-to-heads, home win probability is 48 %, draw 29 %, away win 23 %.