Deportivo A Coruña II host Extremadura in Spain’s Primera División RFEF, Group 1.

Both sides have had uneven recent form. Deportivo A Coruña II collected seven points from five matches, conceding more than once in three of them. Extremadura earned six points in the same span, losing two games without scoring.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 51 % and the under at 49 %. With Deportivo averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, and Extremadura 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded, the expected goal total sits near 2.4. This suggests the probability of over 2.5 goals is around 46 %.

Odds of 2.64-3.10-2.40 translate to implied probabilities of 38-32-42 %. Adjusting for form and average scoring, the estimated chance of a Deportivo win is 36 %, a draw 30 %, and an Extremadura win 34 %.