Colombe du Dja et Lobo vs Teungueth in the CAF Champions League

Colombe du Dja et Lobo have conceded only one goal in their last five matches and kept three clean sheets, including an away win at Teungueth. Teungueth have likewise been solid at the back, allowing just one goal in the same period.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 40.5 % and the under at 68.9 %. Given that both sides have averaged under one goal conceded per game recently and the only previous meeting produced two goals, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at no more than 35 %.

The implied probabilities are 50.5 % for a Colombe win, 32.3 % for a draw and 28.2 % for a Teungueth win. Factoring in home advantage and last season’s away victory by Colombe, the hosts’ chances rise closer to 55 %.