Shakhtar Donetsk host Zorya Luhansk in match-week 29 of the Ukrainian Premier League.

Shakhtar collected three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five fixtures, scoring freely in victories over AEK (3-1) and Kryvbas (3-0). Zorya posted three wins and two defeats; their defence remains leaky, yet the attack continues to generate chances.

Average goals per game for Shakhtar stand at 3.2, for Zorya at 2.8. The 2.5 line is priced 1.58 for over and 2.3 for under. Given both sides’ attacking patterns, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 58 %.

Odds of 1.37–5.15–7.9 underline Shakhtar’s dominance. The hosts have beaten Zorya in four of the last five head-to-heads. Estimated probabilities: Shakhtar win 72 %, draw 19 %, Zorya win 9 %.