Start Kristiansand host Sandefjord in the next round of the Norwegian Eliteserien.
Start Kristiansand have won two and lost three of their last five matches, including a 1-6 defeat at Molde. Sandefjord have recorded two wins, two draws and one loss, most recently falling 0-2 at home to Lillestrøm.
Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 59.5 %. Given that Start Kristiansand average 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over their last five fixtures, while Sandefjord average 1.6 and 1.8 respectively, the expected total goals approaches 4.2. Consequently, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 61 %.
The implied probabilities from the odds are Start Kristiansand win 46.7 %, draw 26.0 % and Sandefjord win 32.0 %. Factoring in home advantage and current form, the estimated chances stand at 43 % for the hosts, 28 % for a draw and 29 % for the visitors.