On 1 November 2026 in the Norwegian Eliteserien, Sarpsborg 08 hosted Kristiansund. The hosts controlled 70 % of possession and won seven corners, yet the visitors, with only 30 % possession and two corners, led 0:3 at half-time and held on for a 2:3 victory. Sarpsborg received one red card, while Kristiansund picked up two yellows. Despite their numerical and attacking advantage, the hosts could not turn the game around.

The total line is set at 3.5 goals with odds 2.17 over and 1.71 under. Given Sarpsborg’s 2.2 and Kristiansund’s 2.6 average goals per game, the probability of over 3.5 goals stands at 48%.

Sarpsborg 08 win probability is 64%, draw 22%, Kristiansund win 14%.