In the Esiliiga match, Nõmme United defeated Tallinn 3-1 at home. The hosts held 57 % possession and launched 84 dangerous attacks to Tallinn’s 71. Both sides scored in the first half, but Nõmme United added two more goals after the break to seal the win. Tallinn picked up three yellow cards compared to one for the hosts, and corners finished 6-5 in Nõmme’s favour.

Average goals per head-to-head match stand at 5.0. With the over 2.5 line offered at 2.15, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58%.

Bookmaker odds of 1.65 / 4.4 / 3.92 translate to implied probabilities of 52% for a Nõmme United win, 24% for a draw and 24% for a Tallinn win.