On 1 November 2026, Nõmme Kalju defeated Kuressaare 1-0 at home in the Meistriliiga. The only goal came in the opening minute. The hosts dominated possession with 56 % compared to 44 % and launched 87 dangerous attacks against 76. They also earned six corners to three. Despite receiving two yellow cards, Kalju kept a clean sheet as Kuressaare failed to create clear chances after the break.

Based on betting odds and the teams’ recent scoring records, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55 %, under 2.5 goals at 45 %.

Nõmme Kalju are given a 65 % chance of winning, a draw is projected at 20 %, while Kuressaare have a 15 % chance of victory.