In the 20th round of Colombia’s Primera A, Deportivo Pasto will host Deportivo Pereira.

Pasto have struggled early in the campaign, earning just one point from their last five matches and losing three. Pereira have looked steadier, collecting clean-sheet draws and narrow wins.

Bookmaker odds on the 2.5-goal line (2.32 over / 1.67 under) point to a low-scoring contest. Over their last five games Pasto average 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Pereira average 0.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. These figures give Under 2.5 an estimated 62% probability.

The 1X2 prices of 1.74-3.76-5.23 suggest a modest edge for the hosts. Considering Pasto’s 40% home points rate and Pereira’s 55% away points rate, the implied probabilities are: Pasto win 48%, draw 31%, Pereira win 21%.