The bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 53 %. Given Maia Lidador averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded and Xavís II 1.4 each, the probability of three or more goals is estimated at 48 %.
Probability: Maia Lidador win 40 %, Xavís II win 42 %, draw 18 %.