Liverpool vs Chelsea, Carabao Cup

Liverpool mix impressive wins with setbacks: after thrashing LASK 6-3 and beating Brentford 2-1, they lost 0-3 to Manchester City. Chelsea are in better rhythm: victories over Bournemouth 5-1 and Everton 2-0, though they fell 0-3 to Brentford.

The over 3.5 goal line is projected to hit in 62 % of similar fixtures. Both sides have averaged more than 3.5 goals per match in their last five outings.

Liverpool win probability 36 %, Chelsea win 42 %, draw 22 %.