Sambenedettese hosts Livorno in the Italian Serie C, Group B.

Sambenedettese's recent form includes draws against Vado (2:2) and Latina (1:1), a win over Grosseto (3:1), but losses to Campobasso (1:2) and Pianese (1:1). Livorno shows mixed results: draws with Forli (1:1) and Pianese (3:2), a win against Monterosi Tuscia (1:1), but a defeat to Pescara (0:1) and a high-scoring draw with Grosseto (4:4).

Given the total 2.5 line (odds 1.99 for over, 1.7 for under) and average goals per match (Sambenedettese 3.2, Livorno 3.6), the probability of over 2.5 goals is around 52%.

The probability of a Sambenedettese win is estimated at 38%, Livorno at 37%, and a draw at 25%, based on bookmakers' odds and team form.