Nõmme United host Pärnu Vaprus in round 18 of the Estonian Meistriliiga.

Nõmme United have collected 3 points from their last five matches, conceding 2.4 goals per game on average. Pärnu Vaprus earned 4 points, failing to win away since October.

The line for over 3.5 goals is priced at 2.10. Across the last five fixtures, the sides have averaged 4.6 goals per match. Given that Pärnu Vaprus concede 2.4 goals per away game, the probability of more than 3.5 goals is assessed at 55%.

Nõmme United are 2.03 to win, implying a 49% chance. With four wins in their last five home games and Pärnu Vaprus losing four consecutive away matches, Nõmme United’s win probability is estimated at 48%. Pärnu Vaprus are given a 27% chance to win and a 25% chance to draw.